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PHYSICIST-RETIRED

Articles Posted: 58  Links Seeded: 310
Member Since: 9/2008  Last Seen: 5/19/2012

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Ongoing Coverage of Fukushima Nuclear Plant

Thu Apr 7, 2011 6:29 PM EDT
world-news, japan, nuclear, radiation, fukushima, reactors, radioactivity, daiichi, dai-ichi
By Physicist-retired

BWR Reactor

Fukushima reactor after hydrogen explosion

Radioactive water leak - Unit 2

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As we begin the fourth week since a 9.0 earthquake devastated Japan, and created one of the worst nuclear incidents in history, it's now quite clear that the situation at Fukushima will go on for some time.

Those of us who continue to follow this issue closely have maintained an excellent forum for the sharing of news and ideas, questions and answers, and diverse insights.

I will be away for several weeks soon, as I take my grandson on a long-promised trip. But the level of interest in this issue remains so high that, in my absence, I want to provide a mechanism for continued discussion. To facilitate that discussion, I'm leaving some of my most fruitful research links. My hope is that others will take the time to scan them occasionally, and post important updates.

I'll be monitoring this site from abroad, and appreciate any/all postings. Most useful links:

http://fukushimadatapage.com/viewDataPage.aspx?un=1

News sources:

Kyodo News: http://english.kyodonews.jp/news/japan_nuclear_crisis/ (Does not self-refresh. Refresh by hitting the Nuclear crisis (now fully accessible) link above the list of current news)

NHK World News: http://www3.nhk.or.jp/daily/english/index.html

JAIF updates (useful for trend analysis, but rather sparse and dry): http://www.jaif.or.jp/english/

Physics Forum (excellent source of links to revelant information, plus highly insightful discussion: http://www.physicsforums.com/showthread.php?t=480200&page=204 Does not self-update - hit 'Last' button at top right or bottom right of page for latest news.

Telegraph (UK) Japan section: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/asia/japan/

Reuters - good source of breaking and in-depth information: http://www.reuters.com/

Wall Street Journal graphics and information/status for each reactor, updated daily: http://graphicsweb.wsj.com/documents/JAPANREACTOR1103/

And in case you missed anything, Wiki daily list of the most important stories: http://fukushimafaq.wikispaces.com/News

For additional insights:

The IAEA updates: http://www.iaea.org/

Live blog started by Reuters - I've found some good links posted here: http://www.scribblelive.com/Event/Japan_Earthquake5

ANS Nuclear Cafe: http://ansnuclearcafe.org/

MIT's analysis of events: http://mitnse.com/

Sapo's Joint (use with caution - I've seen some really good information here, but some that's downright silly): http://saposjoint.net/Forum/viewtopic.php?f=66&t=2657&p=31564

And finally:

This superb interactive periodic table, showing properties and (most relevant for this thread) decay sequences for elements: http://www.periodictable.com/index.html IMO, it's something everyone should have on their desktop. But that's just me.

Final note:

I've used other sources, and I'm sure you do, too. If you have any favorites, send them to me before Sunday, and I'll add them to the article.

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Jump to discussion page: 1 2 3 ... 5
DogonCrook

Thanks for putting all the sources up. Makes things much easier.

  • 8 votes
#1 - Thu Apr 7, 2011 7:35 PM EDT
Michael (Astronomy.FM)

Thanks PR! Enjoy the trip! We'll keep the site warm and the lights on for you.

  • 9 votes
#1.1 - Thu Apr 7, 2011 8:22 PM EDT
goldminor

Even if we have to use candles!

  • 5 votes
#1.2 - Thu Apr 7, 2011 9:08 PM EDT
mightyj

PR-Thanks for the excellent links. Adding this article to favorites. JJ

  • 5 votes
#1.3 - Fri Apr 8, 2011 3:01 AM EDT
Physicist-retired

You're all most welcome. Thanks for all the interest (and especially the input) that kept this going for so long.

  • 6 votes
#1.4 - Fri Apr 8, 2011 9:08 AM EDT
JJP

Yes, thank you P-r. Have a great trip!

  • 4 votes
#1.5 - Fri Apr 8, 2011 9:50 AM EDT
goldminor

Also, thanks for the periodic table. That is a wonderful reference tool.

and if you can remember, could you bring us some nice cannoli when you come back?

  • 6 votes
#1.6 - Fri Apr 8, 2011 11:02 AM EDT
Physicist-retired

thanks for the periodic table

Very cool, isn't it?

bring us some nice cannoli when you come back?

Cannoli? Sure - but maybe you'd prefer a 20-year-old amarone?

  • 7 votes
#1.7 - Fri Apr 8, 2011 11:40 AM EDT
HollyKl

I'm with you. Have a great trip!

  • 4 votes
#1.8 - Fri Apr 8, 2011 4:58 PM EDT
goldminor

Had to look up amarone. That sounds interesting. I,m camped out in North Beach; I'll try one tonite. Chianti,s are nice.

  • 4 votes
#1.9 - Fri Apr 8, 2011 5:47 PM EDT
CL1

Chiming in to say hope all goes well. Then when you're grandson is 20, he can say, I did all of this cool stuff when I was three - and now ??? ..nothing. :) ..Atleast he can look back at the pics.

Have fun!

  • 5 votes
#1.10 - Fri Apr 8, 2011 10:18 PM EDT
Physicist-retired

Thanks, all.

There's nothing like traveling abroad with saucer-eyed grandkids. This will be the fourth time, and it just gets better and better.

goldminor - how's that amarone? It's not for the faint-of-heart, is it?

  • 7 votes
#1.11 - Sat Apr 9, 2011 7:28 AM EDT
goldminor

Amarone isn't easy to find. I went to the local liquor store. They had four labels of amarone, but they started at 70$. The owner said that a valpolicella was similar but cheaper, so I am now sipping on a valpolicella. Very nice! and only 16$. As good as this bottle is, I could well imagine that a full amarone would be a taste sensation.

  • 4 votes
#1.12 - Sat Apr 9, 2011 6:20 PM EDT
K Chad Roberts

An official with the Nuclear Safety Commission of Japan, speaking on national television, said the rating was being raised from 5 to 7 — the highest level on the international scale.

The official, who was not named, said the amount of radiation leaking from the Fukushima Dai-ichi nuclear plant was around 10 percent of the Chernobyl accident.

The level 7 signifies a "major accident" with "wider consequences" than the previous level, according to the standards scale.

"We have upgraded the severity level to 7 as the impact of radiation leaks has been widespread from the air, vegetables, tap water and the ocean," said Minoru Oogoda of Japan's Nuclear and Industrial Safety Agency.

NISA officials said one of the factors behind the decision was that the total amount of radioactive particles released into the atmosphere since the incident had reached levels that apply to a Level 7 incident.

The action lifts the rating to the highest on an international scale designed by an international group of experts in 1989 and is overseen by the International Atomic Energy Agency.

Important to note (P-r mentioned this in a comment bellow) that the core material is still in the footprint of the plant, and that is not likely to change. This is important because the fallout we're seeing is cleanable in time... in Chernobyl's case, core material (like, chunks of the stuff) went flying. That was near permanent contamination, which is different than what we're seeing at Fukushima. Still, the contamination is pretty bad. Still watching.

  • 8 votes
#1.13 - Tue Apr 12, 2011 2:08 PM EDT
Michael (Astronomy.FM)

"...the core material is still in the footprint of the plant, and that is not likely to change."

Yes K Chad - THAT is the "good news" from this event, and the crucial difference between Dai-ichi and Chernobyl.

(Fingers are crossed; as bad as it is now, we're hopeful that it won't get worse.)

  • 6 votes
#1.14 - Tue Apr 12, 2011 11:38 PM EDT
CL1

K Chad, please correct me if you think I'm mistaken, it seemed that it was stated that chunks of foreign debris were blasted after the explosion at # 4. Some landed closer and was bulldozed (between 3 and 4), but I believe it was stated that some debris went further out... ?

  • 3 votes
#1.15 - Wed Apr 13, 2011 12:01 AM EDT
goldminor

I read a piece that mentioned that the resin spray had been used on the hillside behind #4. That might indicate a heavier contamination.

  • 3 votes
#1.16 - Wed Apr 13, 2011 1:02 AM EDT
K Chad Roberts

it seemed that it was stated that chunks of foreign debris were blasted after the explosion at # 4. Some landed closer and was bulldozed (between 3 and 4), but I believe it was stated that some debris went further out... ?

If you have your source please post. The stories that I've found are mentioning some plutonium oxide being released. The media likes to focus on the plutonium, but if there's plutonium oxide, then that means the other fissile material is being oxidized too. If they wanna call that debris, then I guess all the freedom to them. I have yet to see a story about solid core material being ejected from the plants.

The area around the plant has been coated with radioactive fallout. The fact that they are bulldozing/spraying-resin isn't an indication either way. Whether there's core material or not, they'd have to do it to prevent unnecessary runoff and to block excess radio-emissions. I wish I was on the ground over there... it'd be nice to see whats going on first hand. One thing that I'd like to have an answer to is how the fallout is being deposited so close to the reactor. The initial explosions would have 'splattered' it everywhere, but the steam and smoke being released wouldn't have deposited so close. It's certainly not strange that they have contamination close to the plant, I'm just confused why they have so much on the surface (as opposed to the ground water stuff) and why it is continuing to build up as indicated by the 'news' stories.

  • 6 votes
#1.17 - Wed Apr 13, 2011 12:50 PM EDT
goldminor

NHK reports TEPCO has sprayed 195 tons of water on #4 on Wednesday morning. They believe they have a leak still, as well as some hot spots in the pool still. The temp has risen to 90C, and the water is giving off 84 millisieverts/hr.

  • 2 votes
#1.18 - Wed Apr 13, 2011 12:59 PM EDT
DogonCrook

It's certainly not strange that they have contamination close to the plant, I'm just confused why they have so much on the surface (as opposed to the ground water stuff) and why it is continuing to build up as indicated by the 'news' stories.

Is it weather related? I've also seen shots of steam coming out of the reactor on #2, condensing on the debris, then dripping constantly as if it were raining. I used to work on refineries and when it would rain I would come home covered in soot. Anyways when I saw the steam dripping off of everything, it gave me the chills.

  • 6 votes
#1.19 - Wed Apr 13, 2011 3:26 PM EDT
K Chad Roberts

DogonCrook,

Ah okay...

  • 3 votes
#1.20 - Wed Apr 13, 2011 3:44 PM EDT
DogonCrook

I guess my question is, if it's raining while this stuff is venting, will the material fall locally instead of dispersing?

  • 3 votes
#1.21 - Wed Apr 13, 2011 3:55 PM EDT
CL1

K Chad -- I can't find the report(s) that talked about "foreign" debris that had landed on the ground between #3 and #4 (which are relatively far apart -3/4 of a mile or so I think) after the explosion at number 4. It said, as I recall, that the emissions from the debris were so high that for the safety of the workers, they decided to bulldoze over it. As I recall, it was stated that debris was found up to either 5 km or 5 miles? away. ..This particular report was discussing the after-effects of the #4 explosion - but there were other explosions, too, at the other reactors ..so do we know for sure which explosion blasted what?? I don't think so.

The resin that was being sprayed was for a different reason - to keep radioactive dust from going into the atmosphere. I guess that means they were spraying the general area?? Or, maybe they were identifying the *most radioactive ground areas* as a result of the explosions and/or steam venting - and just spraying those areas. I don't know. Even with steam venting, with most going into the atmosphere - there would still be ground contamination involved eventually, I would think.

  • 7 votes
#1.22 - Wed Apr 13, 2011 4:24 PM EDT
Brandon-801865

Great seed, as usual, Retired.

Voted up.

I am just concerned that coverage of this now-admitted, Chernobyl-level disaster, is not even making front pages in most of the Mainstream Media.

Am I missing something?

  • 9 votes
#1.23 - Wed Apr 13, 2011 5:26 PM EDT
CL1

Hi Brandon, ..my 'interpetation' from what I've read is that they aren't concluding or admitting that the disaster is near the same level as Chernobyl as indicated in 1.13 above - the change in severity level is for other reasons.

The official, who was not named, said the amount of radiation leaking from the Fukushima Dai-ichi nuclear plant was around 10 percent of the Chernobyl accident.

The level 7 signifies a "major accident" with "wider consequences" than the previous level, according to the standards scale.

Aren't serious catastrophes always downplayed by the media, and by those that stand to benefit from doing so? ..seemingly.

  • 6 votes
#1.24 - Wed Apr 13, 2011 5:37 PM EDT
DogonCrook

The change to a 7 could also have been because of the pressure/temp. spikes as well. It looked as like another explosion was possible. It seems as though that was a real danger a couple of days ago, and we certainly are not out of the woods. The radiation isn't anywhere near chernobyl levels. That said it spiked a bunch of instruments around the site. One of the reasons information started to trickle. If your trying to avoid panic it's hard to do so when there is too much radiation to measure. I wouldn't expect TEPCO to say "we don't know the exact readings because our monitors do not go that high."

The rating system to me seems arbitrary, and because of chernobyl has a lot of symbolic baggage. They might as well call it threat level orange, it really doesn't seem to mean @!$%#, except you don't want to be there.

  • 6 votes
#1.25 - Wed Apr 13, 2011 5:54 PM EDT
CL1

"we don't know the exact readings because our monitors do not go that high."

I remember when one of the sources quoted TEPCO saying that. Their equipment couldn't go high enough to measure the ground-level readings. (I believe it was during all of discussion of the ground-water contamination.)

It would seem that the ground-water is obviously going to carry (move) a lot of the contamination away to another area (glad that higher levels of contamination will be filtered), but it's likely to do some depositing along the way, of the more serious radionuclides.

  • 7 votes
#1.26 - Wed Apr 13, 2011 6:07 PM EDT
K Chad Roberts

Sorry about the late response...

I guess my question is, if it's raining while this stuff is venting, will the material fall locally instead of dispersing?

Yea, some of it would.

so do we know for sure which explosion blasted what?

No, we don't know for sure what blasted what. The main reason I'm skeptical about any large pieces of the spent rods being ejected from the plants would be because of the nature of the explosions. Considering the worst-case setup, the rods would have been exposed to air (thus fully exposed to the explosion). Even in this case, I personally doubt the hydrogen explosion would have destroyed any of the rods. The most I see happening would be the surface eroded away some. The explosion wasn't a piece of plastic explosives attached to the side of the rods... it was an air-fuel explosion. All of the reacting material was spread out over a large area, and when it went up, the explosions effects on items in the inside of the building would have been pressure from all sides, not a single shock-wave. I maintain from what I know, that the fissile material is largely contained to the buildings footprints, and that the debris they're talking about are particulate, or non-fissile material with particulate fissile material 'caked' onto them.

Just a guess though, for all I know, the rods could have harpooned themselves into the lawn outside the plants... but that doesn't really make sense to me...

I guess that means they were spraying the general area?? Or, maybe they were identifying the *most radioactive ground areas* as a result of the explosions and/or steam venting - and just spraying those areas. I don't know. Even with steam venting, with most going into the atmosphere - there would still be ground contamination involved eventually, I would think.

Your guess is as good as mine. Wind patterns are pretty easy to follow, so it'd make sense to focus on a hillside near the plant.

I am just concerned that coverage of this now-admitted, Chernobyl-level disaster, is not even making front pages in most of the Mainstream Media.

So many different answers to that. In the end I'm glad that they aren't covering it so fixatedly, but dropping the story altogether is quite cruel considering Japan is still hurting. As for the reason, Mainstream news is more interested in politics than world events... for the most part. I am a little surprised that the media isn't milking the crap out of this event, but they're the ones keeping an eye on the ratings... not me.

Discussion on the change to 7 &

The change to a 7 could also have been because of the pressure/temp. spikes as well. It looked as like another explosion was possible. It seems as though that was a real danger a couple of days ago, and we certainly are not out of the woods.

These ratings are reactive, not proactive. They don't consider the future possibility of radioactive contamination, just what has already happened. The fact that the contamination has made it so far away from the plant would be the main reason. It's on the same level as Chernobyl in the scope of its effect, but not necessarily the magnitude.

  • 5 votes
#1.27 - Fri Apr 15, 2011 1:07 PM EDT
CL1

Thanks for stopping by, K Chad. It's always nice to read your perspective, imo.

  • 3 votes
#1.28 - Fri Apr 15, 2011 1:34 PM EDT
DogonCrook

Thanks K Chad.

As for the rating system I'm reading now it's kinda arbitrary. Whats your take on the rating? A lot of people seem to think calling it a 7 is absurd based on releases. I kind of think it's in the ball park in terms of release, but I don't think it's even close in terms of overall environmental damage. Anyway lots of conflicting takes on this.

  • 3 votes
#1.29 - Fri Apr 15, 2011 2:50 PM EDT
CL1

Dogon - I know you are addressing K Chad with your question.

I thought I'd comment that from the info that the source material provides (I quoted one on the the second page), that rating system was established after the Chernobyl disaster and is kind of an "in-house" tool they use to rate according to not necessarily the amount of contamination released, but more to point to 'more' or 'less' widespread contamination - as a precaution and advisory to those in the area. ..atleast, that's my interpretation of the statements.

  • 3 votes
#1.30 - Fri Apr 15, 2011 3:04 PM EDT
K Chad Roberts

As for the rating system I'm reading now it's kinda arbitrary. Whats your take on the rating? A lot of people seem to think calling it a 7 is absurd based on releases. I kind of think it's in the ball park in terms of release, but I don't think it's even close in terms of overall environmental damage. Anyway lots of conflicting takes on this.

I'm gonna kinda echo CL1 on this. Although total releases certainly play a role, the ratings seem to be focused on how much the contamination spreads. The radiation released from the plant passed the point where they can cause harm quite a while ago, so that qualifies it for level 4. The fact that its effecting such a massive portion of Japan qualifies it to pass into the domain for "wider consequences" (or level 5). At this point, yea, it is rather arbitrary.

The way I think about it:

If a radiation event happens (inside or outside) that could potentially hurt someones health, then it's serious (level 3). If the radiation is high enough to hurt people, and is released from the plants containment, its going to have local effects (level 4). If the radiation leakage is both high level and is released further than the immediate area (in the case of 3-miles island, a city) then it's at least a 5. Anything beyond that is really an emotional factor. The levels don't matter once it passes into "it can cause harm" levels. If the Japanese hadn't been evacuating and hadn't been taking countermeasures against contamination, then this event would have hurt a lot of people. Thankfully, they have been appropriately evacuating. The difference between 6 and 7? I dunno... No it's not nearly as bad as Chernobyl, but that doesn't matter much. It's more of "Is the Fukushima really midway between Chernobyl and 3-Miles Island anymore?" They've decided that its not, and that 6 doesn't quite do the situation justice. Had the leakage stopped a few weeks ago, it probably would have been taken as a 6...

I personally hate scales like this... ( http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y0Z0raWIHXk content warning... these guys swear a lot and is not appropriate if viewing from work (tsk tsk tsk))

  • 4 votes
#1.31 - Fri Apr 15, 2011 3:24 PM EDT
DogonCrook

Thanks for the answers CL1, K CHad.

Maybe after the dust is settled we will get a more descriptive rating system with more defined qualifiers.

  • 2 votes
#1.32 - Fri Apr 15, 2011 3:32 PM EDT
Starseeker

Heaven forbid we ever have enough of these to get to an accurate rating system.

  • 5 votes
#1.33 - Fri Apr 15, 2011 4:15 PM EDT
DogonCrook

Agreed. I just think the rating system should be X amount of radiation will effect X radius. Or more like weather IE you have X% chance of getting X dose in X area.

  • 2 votes
#1.34 - Fri Apr 15, 2011 6:10 PM EDT
Reply
DogonCrook

Can't tell if this is any different than other reports, but a lot of different readings as of mar. 22

http://www.irsn.fr/EN/news/Documents/IRSN_fukushima-radioactivity-released-assessment-EN.pdf

French website, so you have to use google translate but the docs are in english. About the dangers of using MOX, most of which is owned by Areva, and the fact that fukishima was shutdown a couple of years ago because of falsifying test results, and:

A report by the U.S. Department of Energy, dated 2003, also returns to the existence of forgeries, explaining that "cracks in the structures that hold the nuclear fuel in place in the heart of central TEPCO reactors" were concealed .

http://owni.fr/2011/03/15/revelations-areva-au-coeur-du-reacteur-de-fukushima/

Why am I not surprised...

  • 6 votes
Reply#2 - Thu Apr 7, 2011 8:02 PM EDT
goldminor

Now they can blame the cracks on the quakes. or try to.

  • 5 votes
#2.1 - Thu Apr 7, 2011 8:27 PM EDT
DogonCrook

Yes it is being suggested that they are doing exactly that. Something I would normally dismiss as conspiracy theory, but all things considered. it has the ring of truth.

  • 6 votes
#2.2 - Thu Apr 7, 2011 8:32 PM EDT
Physicist-retired

Dogon,

Very good link.

I took a few minutes to look at all possible decay chains for the radioactive particles released (according to the French analysis), and was relieved to see that all of the isotopes come from decay byproducts of uranium and plutonium - not from the fuels themselves.

If the French are right, that means that large chunks of uranium and plutonium have not been dispersed farther than the footprint of the plant itself (we know that's happened at the plant, from explosions at storage pools 3 or 4).

That's good news. I'd also like to see a complete analysis of seawater, but only cesium and iodine are currently being reported. We're left to guess what else is being found in the ocean.

  • 9 votes
#2.3 - Fri Apr 8, 2011 9:26 AM EDT
Reply
mstanley2265

bookmarked..... 7.4 earthquake today and guessing this one will make for more problems

Have a good trip, be careful, be safe

  • 6 votes
Reply#3 - Thu Apr 7, 2011 8:41 PM EDT
Physicist-retired

this one will make for more problems

Absolutely. See #8 below.

Have a good trip, be careful, be safe

Thanks, mstanley.

  • 5 votes
#3.1 - Fri Apr 8, 2011 9:28 AM EDT
Reply
magz

There has not been even an accounting of the fault lines surrounding and under that doomed power plant. There is seawater now invading through pre-existing and new fault lines containing, among other elements, iodine. Those elements will be irradiated and contaminate not just the coast and the immediate seawater, but certainly through the freshwater aquifers of the surrounding countryside, and we're not even talking about the fuel, both still in the active pile, and those decaying in storage pools.

It is now time for the Japanese government to take over this disaster and call in all the chips its friends and allies have held for her. Resources greater than those already brought to bear must be utilized. The shame here would be to let this suffering continue.

  • 9 votes
Reply#4 - Thu Apr 7, 2011 8:59 PM EDT
Physicist-retired

It is now time for the Japanese government to take over this disaster

At least - althoughthey haven't been stellar in this either. How about the IAEA, UN, and experts from around the world? This is not just a Japanese event any more.

  • 9 votes
#4.1 - Fri Apr 8, 2011 9:30 AM EDT
Reply
mstanley2265

This just in from the NHK, Japanese English Television:

Aftershock puts nuclear plants on emergency power

Japan's nuclear agency says the quake that struck northeastern Japan on Thursday, disabled all but one outside power supply line at the Onagawa nuclear power plant in Miyagi Prefecture.

The Nuclear and Industrial Safety Agency says 2 of the 3 power lines became unavailable and the plant is using the only remaining line to cool its nuclear reactors.

It says the cooling systems of 3 spent fuel pools were disabled at one point, but had all been restored.

The agency reports no abnormal radiation readings at the plant.

At the Fukushima Daiichi and Daini nuclear power plants, instrument readings and radiation monitors showed no changes following the quake.

At the Higashidori nuclear power plant in Aomori Prefecture, the quake shut down all outside power lines, prompting the plant to switch on emergency diesel power generators.

The plant had shut down its reactors and was undergoing an inspection at the time of the quake.
No serious effects were reported with the cooling systems of storage pools for spent fuel rods.

A nuclear fuel reprocessing plant in Rokkasho, Aomori Prefecture, also lost all outside power and is operating on emergency diesel generators at the moment.

No irregularities have also been reported at the Tokai Daini nuclear power plant in Ibaraki Prefecture.

All these nuclear power plants had suspended power generating operations at their reactors after the March 11th earthquake and tsunami.

Friday, April 08, 2011 06:10 +0900 (JST)

  • 6 votes
Reply#5 - Thu Apr 7, 2011 10:23 PM EDT
Fletch-495299

I'm concerned that all the radioactive water leaking in to the ocean will find its way to Hawaii, and the west coast.

  • 6 votes
Reply#6 - Fri Apr 8, 2011 5:27 AM EDT
Physicist-retired

Fletch,

I understand your concerns.

But the sheer size of the Pacific Ocean is really working in your favor here. That ocean has about 187,189,915,062,857,142,857 gallons of water in it. When the 3,000,000 gallons of moderately-contaminated water being dumped into the Pacific is dispersed (and it will be, rather quickly), the amount that shows up in Hawaii will be barely measurable.

Much less than getting a dental x-ray.

And, of course, much of the iodine will decay long before it gets to Hawaiian shores. A fair bit of the cesium could precipitate to the ocean floor, too.

The situation could change if the Japanese are forced to begin dumping highly-contaminated water - but I personally can't foresee an event that will impact your beautiful state.

  • 10 votes
#6.1 - Fri Apr 8, 2011 9:56 AM EDT
Fletch-495299

Good to Know, Thanks.

  • 6 votes
#6.2 - Fri Apr 8, 2011 1:18 PM EDT
Reply
Physicist-retired

Interestingly, the first data I usually begin the day with (reactor data graphs from link #1) has not been updated for April 8th.  This is a critical data set to track, particularly after the HUGE spike in reactor pressure and torus radioactivity seen yesterday, when nitrogen injection began in that reactor.

I'll begin instead with the JAIF report. Very sparse data, but one interesting point:

Water in reactor 3 is falling quite noticeably.   The 'secret' document leaked to the NYT expressed concern that a combination of melted fuel and salt buildup may be clogging water injection paths to this reactor.  There's insufficient information from JAIF to confirm that this is the cause of reduced water levels in #3.

On to news reports.

  • 8 votes
Reply#7 - Fri Apr 8, 2011 7:27 AM EDT
Physicist-retired

Detailed information of the effects of yesterday's 7.1 aftershock on nearby nuclear facilities, from NHK World News:

Aftershock batters nuclear plants

Nuclear power plants and related facilities in the coastal areas of northeastern Japan were forced to rely on emergency power after their electricity was cut off in Thursday night's quake.

Operations have been suspended at all nuclear power plants from Aomori to Ibaraki prefectures since the March 11th earthquake and tsunami. But electricity is still crucial to keep their cooling systems operating.

Japan's nuclear agency says all external power lines at Higashidori nuclear power plant in Aomori Prefecture were knocked out in Thursday's quake. The plant switched to emergency diesel power generators for some hours, but power was later restored.

The quake shut down 3 of the 4 external power lines at Onagawa nuclear power plant in Miyagi Prefecture. It is still operating on the one remaining power line.

The Onagawa plant also suffered water leaks at 8 locations, including water that spilled from spent fuel storage pools at each of its 3 reactors. A device to control pressure inside a turbine building was also damaged.

In addition, the quake disabled all external power lines at a nuclear fuel reprocessing plant in Aomori Prefecture. The cooling systems here are still running on emergency diesel power.

http://www3.nhk.or.jp/daily/english/08_24.html

One wonders what sort of structural damage has been done to these facilities after so many quakes in the last 4 weeks.

The Onagawa plant also suffered water leaks at 8 locations, including water that spilled from spent fuel storage pools at each of its 3 reactors

This seems to be a design flaw. Storage pools are placed on the highest levels of reactor buildings designed like these Boiling Water Reactors (BWRs). In an earthquake, the highest levels of any building experience the greatest 'sway'.

This same sort of 'sloshing' seems to have happened at all 6 storage pools at the Dai-ichi facility.

  • 9 votes
Reply#8 - Fri Apr 8, 2011 7:45 AM EDT
Starseeker

Storage pools are placed on the highest levels of reactor buildings designed like these Boiling Water Reactors (BWRs). In an earthquake, the highest levels of any building experience the greatest 'sway'.

The pools clearly need to have a removable partitionable covering (still need to get in an out of sections). A good thermal transfer gel covering ought to keep the sloshing in the pool and be resiliently flexible as well although it might drive up the cooling load a bit.

PR - Enjoy your trip.

  • 7 votes
#8.1 - Fri Apr 8, 2011 8:11 AM EDT
Physicist-retired

A good thermal transfer gel covering

Interesting idea - and a good 'quick fix' for existing plants.

I wonder if future nuclear reactors will place storage pools directly above reactors, on the highest floor of the building, with virtually no containment around them.

PR - Enjoy your trip.

Thanks - I know I will. The question is whether I can entertain an 11-year-old for two weeks.

Last year I took another grandson (age 10) to England and Egypt. He was bored to tears by the Rosetta Stone - but loved the Imperial War Museum (where he knew all the weapons because of the video games he plays!).

  • 10 votes
#8.2 - Fri Apr 8, 2011 8:39 AM EDT
CL1

11 year-old --- I thought you were taking the 3 year-old!! lol... Eleven sounds a lot better for you. I think a few years older might appreciate it a little more - but, we can't always have everything we want, can we!! lol ...Again, Enjoy! ..I'm sure you will.

  • 4 votes
#8.3 - Fri Apr 8, 2011 10:29 PM EDT
Physicist-retired

CL1,

I thought you were taking the 3 year-old!!

That would require a level of energy, patience, and optimism that I just don't have any more ;-)

And, as you point out above, I want him to actually remember the trip. I believe he will - he's been learning Italian, studying Pompeii, and reading about gladiators for 10 months now. Imagine his face when we walk into the Coliseum.

Pure gold.

  • 7 votes
#8.4 - Sat Apr 9, 2011 7:36 AM EDT
CL1

P-r --I can imagine his face - yes, "Pure gold."

Wow, his preparation will make his experience have even more meaning, and, hopefully, leave him with a lasting impression and memory of everything.

I'm looking forward to your photos *and* your excellent way of detailing without over-detailing the mundane. ..I can't explain you any better than that; it was something I noticed in your commentary accompanying your photos of South America. Not every 'great' writer has this ability that I'm trying to describe. It's the difference between someone that holds our attention, and one that doesn't. ..Sorry to OT ---again, hope all goes well.

  • 7 votes
#8.5 - Sat Apr 9, 2011 3:27 PM EDT
Reply
Physicist-retired

From NHK News:

Unreleased data obtained by NHK suggest that the failure to maintain the cooling functions of the No. 1 reactor at the troubled Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant possibly triggered a hydrogen explosion at an early stage.

The data show that the water level inside the No. 1 reactor dropped to 45 centimeters above the fuel rods, or about one-tenth the normal level, nearly 7 hours after the March 11th earthquake and tsunami. The fuel rods become exposed 11 hours later.

Water levels in the No. 2 and No. 3 reactors were kept at around 4 meters through the use of emergency generators despite the power outages. It was a day and a half to 3 days before their fuel rods were exposed.

University of Tokyo Professor Naoto Sekimura says the loss of cooling functions at the No.1 reactor and the subsequent exposure of the fuel rods may have caused the hydrogen explosion as early as the next day.

The plant's operator, Tokyo Electric Power Company, has so far only disclosed data from the day after the quake.

http://www3.nhk.or.jp/daily/english/08_16.html

  • 9 votes
Reply#9 - Fri Apr 8, 2011 7:49 AM EDT
Starseeker

failure to maintain the cooling functions of the No. 1 reactor at the troubled Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant possibly triggered a hydrogen explosion at an early stage.

Not sure we needed any unreleased data to figure that out... the science involved is not unknown, unpredictable, or mysterious. Tough times ahead for TEPCO... I expect a fire sale at some point with change of ownership and management. Given the Japanese culture a few execs may ... um ... end their careers.

  • 6 votes
Reply#10 - Fri Apr 8, 2011 8:20 AM EDT
Physicist-retired

Not sure we needed any unreleased data to figure that out

Very true. I think the 'newsworthy' part of that story is the fact that TEPCO began this entire incident with a policy of releasing minimum information.

Even if it was difficult to get a grasp on what was happening in the first 24 - 48 hours (and I'm sure it was), we're in week 4 now, and TEPCO still hasn't released data from the beginning of the event.

  • 7 votes
#10.1 - Fri Apr 8, 2011 8:33 AM EDT
Starseeker

TEPCO still hasn't released data from the beginning of the event.

Yep, definite issues there... but I wouldn't want to be in their shoes either... they have been riding a runaway roller-coaster just hanging on for dear life from moment to moment.

A excellent case for the swift convening of expert aid in situations like this by policy/treaty that's not incumbant on anyone to accept; rather its required. All just too overwhelming for "steady state operations" to deal with.

  • 6 votes
#10.2 - Fri Apr 8, 2011 8:47 AM EDT
Reply
Physicist-retired

Something is going on in reactor #1.

See these graphs:

http://www.physicsforums.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=34141&d=1302255355

  1. Drywell radiation leaps more than 300% (31 sieverts to 100 sieverts) in about 24 hours
  2. Temperature of the Reactor Pressure Vessel (RPV) nozzle suddenly jumps 50C (122F)
  3. Pressure levels in both the reactor core and the containment chamber also rise suddenly

Most concerning to me is the incredible leap of radiation levels in the drywell. That radiation should be in the core. 100 sieverts is an enormous amount of radiation - anything above 10 sieverts means sudden incapacitation and death.

I'll be digging to find out what is happening there.

Is it due to the injection of nitrogen, which may have forced radioactive particles out of the core and into the drywell through broken pump seals?

Or did yesterday's earthquake play a role in this?

  • 8 votes
Reply#11 - Fri Apr 8, 2011 8:30 AM EDT
caltha-palustris

P-r,

Your coverage of this horrendous crisis has been exceptional. Thank you so much for providing a source to check daily for numerous updates. Enjoy your time with your grandson. And, "happy trails..."

  • 7 votes
Reply#12 - Fri Apr 8, 2011 9:10 AM EDT
Physicist-retired

Kind words, caltha. Thanks.

  • 5 votes
#12.1 - Fri Apr 8, 2011 9:31 AM EDT
Reply
Physicist-retired

From NHK World News, new radiation readings from seawater near the ongoing dump of contaminated water at Dai-ichi:

Water radiation levels rise north of nuke plant

The operator of the troubled Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant says seawater radiation levels continue to rise in areas north of the plant.

Tokyo Electric Power Company says it detected on Thursday 110 becquerels of radioactive iodine-131 per cubic centimeter in seawater samples collected 30 meters from outlets in the northern part of the complex.

The figure is 2,800 times higher than the maximum allowed under government standards. Measurements at the same spot were 600 times the standard on Tuesday and 1,000 times on Wedneday.

In a series of surveys 15 kilometers from the coastline, a reading 9.3 times the national limit was detected north of the plant, off the coast of Minami-soma City.

The government's nuclear safety agency has instructed the Fukushima plant operator to review its monitoring activities, as the radioactive material is likely to be carried northward by ocean currents.

The agency stressed the need to monitor areas of high radiation concentration more closely to clarify possible contamination of the ocean.

http://www3.nhk.or.jp/daily/english/08_39.html

Two points:

  1. Notice how quickly rad levels drop off with distance. At 30 meters (roughly a football field), they are 2,800 times higher. At 15 kilometers (less than 10 miles), they are 9.3 times higher. That's the power of dispersion.
  2. With the previous leak of highly contaminated water (going on for God-knows-how-long), and the current dumping of less contaminated water, this is to be expected. But it's good to know that it's being monitored.
  3. Dr. Henrieta Dulaiova, a radiation expert and Asst. Professor at UH Manoa, is already sampling water in Hawaii. So far, no traces have been found. Read more here.
  • 7 votes
Reply#13 - Fri Apr 8, 2011 11:57 AM EDT
Starseeker

That's the power of dispersion.

Could that concept be applied to the core for emergency situations? i.e. the core is arranged in a symmetrical evenly space configuration. Would there be an advantage to reducing heat and interaction by mechanically shifting the core rods to a position further apart during an emergency situation?

  • 7 votes
#13.1 - Fri Apr 8, 2011 1:54 PM EDT
Physicist-retired

Starseeker,

Could that concept be applied to the core for emergency situations? i.e. the core is arranged in a symmetrical evenly space configuration. Would there be an advantage to reducing heat and interaction by mechanically shifting the core rods to a position further apart during an emergency situation?

I'm not completely sure that I understand the question.

If by 'interaction', you mean fission, that was stopped almost immediately after the quake by the insertion of control rods.

However, fission byproducts like cesium and iodine (and many others) continue to decay in the core. They are the current heat source in the reactor. Nothing can stop that decay (and associated heat), and increased rod spacing would have no effect on the total amount of heat inside that container.

Interesting thought, though.

Did I understand what you were asking?

  • 8 votes
#13.2 - Fri Apr 8, 2011 2:48 PM EDT
Starseeker

Yes I believe you got the gist of what I tried to ask... I wasn't really happy with the way that was worded but I was time boxed so it was either post it or start over later. I did expect that decay would continue but wasn't sure if proximity would increase the effects and heat generated or if it feeds off of the heat in anyway.

So from that; it would seem that we really don't care what the temperature is in terms of radioactivity or fission but there is a limit to the supporting structure (rods etc) that will melt with excessive heat resulting in a loss of the ability to control the reactor.

  • 7 votes
#13.3 - Fri Apr 8, 2011 4:48 PM EDT
Physicist-retired

limit to the supporting structure (rods etc) that will melt with excessive heat resulting in a loss of the ability to control the reactor

Exactly. Also, the coating on the rods (zirconium cladding) will begin to pop open, or even oxidize, which lets the uranium pellets inside those rods fall out (or even melt if it gets hot enough). With uranium pellets coming in contact with each other, they can achieve criticality again.

And with melting of uranium and zirconium (and all the other stuff in there) you get corium - and you know the rest.

  • 7 votes
#13.4 - Fri Apr 8, 2011 4:57 PM EDT
Starseeker

corium - huh, couldn't find that on the periodic table ;-)

so these pellets getting together and socializing and all is what really got me thinking about ways of segregating them somehow to prevent catastrophes. The more elaborate concept entails individual pellet containment ...(solitary confinement) see where I was going with that?

  • 7 votes
#13.5 - Fri Apr 8, 2011 5:07 PM EDT
goldminor

similar to a pebble bed reactor? that concept sounded interesting.

  • 6 votes
#13.6 - Fri Apr 8, 2011 5:41 PM EDT
Physicist-retired

Excellent article on corium here.

Since it can contain many different components (in differing amounts), it's very difficult to model exactly how corium will act. Hence the uncertainties about exactly what would happen in the case of a containment breach.

  • 7 votes
#13.7 - Sat Apr 9, 2011 7:41 AM EDT
tomwcraig

Physicist,

That does look like a good article on corium; however, all articles on Wikipedia need to be taken with a grain of salt. They are publicly edited; but the links are usually quite good sources for research.

  • 7 votes
#13.8 - Sat Apr 9, 2011 4:13 PM EDT
Physicist-retired

tom,

however, all articles on Wikipedia need to be taken with a grain of salt

Can't disagree with that - making (of course) the exception to references that you rightly point out.

But in this case, I think the 'corium' article is a pretty good overview of the subject - especially for people who are highly interested in science, but don't have advanced degrees in nuclear physics.

I learned a thing or two from it myself.

BTW; thanks for stopping by, Tom. Always nice to hear from you.

  • 7 votes
#13.9 - Sat Apr 9, 2011 5:32 PM EDT
Starseeker

After reading these resources I believe there is benefit to increasing the distance between the rods/rod assemblies during a critical event to lessen the likely hood of regaining nuclear criticality.

Principals in Nuclear Engineering

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_fission

Encyclopedia of occupational health and safety

Logically; boron added to the RPV would be ineffective if there were not neutrons flowing between rods/assemblies. Decay would not be affected but Neutrons traveling randomly would strike fewer fissile atoms if the distance to travel were greater reducing collisions and the probability of fission.

Conceptually arranging the assemblies into quarter units in the core and pulling them back along a diagonal track from center then expanding each quarter assembly both vertically and horizontally would create space between each assembly at the lowest possible granularity. This would just be an exercise of mechanical engineering to spread out the assemblies.

  • 6 votes
#13.10 - Sat Apr 9, 2011 9:50 PM EDT
Reply
Physicist-retired

A disturbing analysis, posted by the NYT:

The Nuclear Regulatory Commission speculated Wednesday that some of the core of the No. 2 reactor had flowed from its steel pressure vessel into the bottom of the containment structure. The theory implies more damage at the unit than previously believed.

While a spokeswoman for Tokyo Electric dismissed the analysis, a spokesman for the Nuclear and Industrial Safety Agency of Japan agreed that it was possible that the core had leaked into the larger containment vessel.

The possibility raised new questions. The Nuclear Regulator Commission said that its speculation about the flow of core material out of the reactor vessel would explain high radiation readings in an area underneath, called the drywell.

But some of the radiation readings at Reactors Nos. 1 and 3 over the last week were nearly as high as or higher than the 3,300 rems per hour that the commission said it was trying to explain, so it would appear that the speculation would apply to them as well. At No. 2, extremely radioactive material continues to ooze out of the reactor pressure vessel, and the leak is likely to widen with time, a western nuclear executive asserted.

“It’s a little like pulling a thread out of your tie,” said the executive, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to protect business connections in Japan. “Any breach gets bigger.”

Flashes of extremely intense radioactivity have become a serious problem, he said. Tokyo Electric’s difficulties in providing accurate information on radiation are not a result of software problems, as some Japanese officials have suggested, but stem from damage to measurement instruments caused by radiation, the executive said.

Broken pieces of fuel rods have been found outside of Reactor No. 2, and are now being covered with bulldozers, he said. The pieces may be from rods in the spent-fuel pools that were flung out by hydrogen explosions.

http://www.nytimes.com/2011/04/09/world/asia/09japan.html?_r=2

  • 7 votes
Reply#14 - Fri Apr 8, 2011 12:13 PM EDT
TheView FromHere

An excellent article and on-going forum, thank you. I was stunned at how quickly the Deepwater gulf spill drifted out of media coverage with the closing of the well. With the earthquake/tsunami just 4 weeks past and this ongoing radiation of the environment already the media has begun to drift away. Stay informed, vote your conscience. All the best.

  • 6 votes
Reply#15 - Fri Apr 8, 2011 12:33 PM EDT
Physicist-retired

TheViewFromHere,

Sincere thanks.

Media (and public) attention spans are indeed short - and getting shorter all the time. I, like you, am amazed to see an ongoing interest in this aspect of the Japanese disaster by dedicated Viners.

  • 7 votes
#15.1 - Fri Apr 8, 2011 12:47 PM EDT
goldminor

This is a notable event in the course of human history. It will have an impact on many for some time to come. The full depth of that impact still isn't known, as it will be dependent on near term potential changes.

I think many people have already turned the channel to watch for the next current event.

  • 7 votes
#15.2 - Fri Apr 8, 2011 1:22 PM EDT
mstanley2265

guessing there are nuclear people like GE hoping people have short term memory loss too....but this one this one isn't going away anytime soon. With 104 nuclear plants in America, well they better work harder on contingency plans, Mother Nature can throw some major hissy fits.

  • 6 votes
#15.3 - Fri Apr 8, 2011 1:25 PM EDT
magz

The Nuclear Regulatory Commission speculated Wednesday that some of the core of the No.2 reactor had flowed from its steel pressure vessel into the bottom of the containment structure.

Given the possibility of damage to concrete structures, remember that the earthquake was a Magnitude 9.0, that is pretty much as bad as it gets.

  • 7 votes
#15.4 - Fri Apr 8, 2011 4:11 PM EDT
Physicist-retired

Given the possibility of damage to concrete structures

I'm really hoping that the damage to the containment chambers is not in a place where melted fuel can seep out. We'll have to keep watching radiation levels - which will surely tell us if core materials have escaped.

  • 8 votes
#15.5 - Fri Apr 8, 2011 4:59 PM EDT
Reply
mstanley2265

Lest we forget, our Naval ships and military personnel have been in the contaminated areas. sighhhhh

  • 5 votes
Reply#16 - Fri Apr 8, 2011 3:30 PM EDT
etva

PR, thanks for the links and continued updates. Hope you have a wonderful trip!

  • 6 votes
Reply#17 - Fri Apr 8, 2011 4:31 PM EDT
Physicist-retired

Thanks, etva!

The weather looks great in Italy (not so much in England, but when is the weather good there?).

And with any luck, the lemon and orange groves will be in full blossom while we're in Sorrento. I'veheard people talk about that smell wafting over the Amalfi Coast in springtime for years. This time, I want to experience it myself. Might even get a few good shots!

  • 8 votes
#17.1 - Fri Apr 8, 2011 5:04 PM EDT
etva

I'll be looking for that Foto-Friday:) Enjoy!

  • 4 votes
#17.2 - Fri Apr 8, 2011 9:57 PM EDT
Reply
Physicist-retired

Update:

(Reuters) - Japan expects to stop pumping radioactive water into the sea from a crippled nuclear plant on Saturday, a day after China expressed concern at the action, reflecting growing international unease at the month-long nuclear crisis.

"The emptying out of the relatively low radiation water is expected to finish tomorrow (Saturday)," a Tokyo Electric Power Co (TEPCO) official said late on Friday.

http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/04/08/us-japan-idUSTRE72A0SS20110408

  • 8 votes
Reply#18 - Fri Apr 8, 2011 5:16 PM EDT
robin-6

Gotchy'all on the new one and am tracking.

  • 5 votes
Reply#19 - Fri Apr 8, 2011 10:01 PM EDT
Physicist-retired

Missed you, robin. Hope you had a great break - welcome back.

  • 6 votes
#19.1 - Sat Apr 9, 2011 7:42 AM EDT
robin-6

Thank you PR! This is the first time I've logged on since I left that last post. Life has me going in 12 different directions right now and will be for some time. I thought I'd try to at least read thru this seed this morning after hearing yesterday the news seems to have upgraded this disaster to Chernobylesque now. *sigh* As I've said many times earlier, I can't see how it could not be when it was such a runaway situation from the onset. Sad sad sad situation! So many earthquakes yesterday. In one sense its incredible to witness such a geological event but the life cost is so enormous that it surely takes away from the awesomeness we're witnessing as mother earth does her thing.

Looking forward to reading about your trip. What a lucky grandson you have! How exciting for him! Sending my best! :-)

  • 6 votes
#19.2 - Tue Apr 12, 2011 11:07 AM EDT
Reply
Angela1586572

Physicist Retired ~ First,, thank you for everything. Second, enjoy your experiences. :)

  • 6 votes
Reply#20 - Sat Apr 9, 2011 2:08 AM EDT
Physicist-retired

Thanks, Angela.

And please keep posting here, so I can see what's happening while abroad.

  • 4 votes
#20.1 - Sat Apr 9, 2011 8:12 AM EDT
Angela1586572

I will do my best. We will do our best. You just enjoy your vacation.

On a lighter note..'the book I had shared with you last week, the 'reference one'; my eldest son casually came into my room to chit chat about his day and he said WOW..i need this for my library. May I have it? I told him i needed it for the theories and equations.
When he used the art of persuasion and combined logic to prove his point; I smiled and said.. it is yours.. Son.
With a smile from ear to ear and a wink, he said one does not need to understand the equations to solve the
existing problems that Japan is facing.
After all, it was Man who created the Nuclear Bomb, Nuclear Reactors' therefore; it is Man who can reverse the damage done. We shall see.

  • 5 votes
#20.2 - Sat Apr 9, 2011 11:59 AM EDT
Reply
Physicist-retired

Most frustrating.

After linking this rather alarming graph yesterday, all data sources seem to have gone silent.

The IAEA, JAIF status reports, and even the 'unicamp' Fukushima graphs have not been updated since April 7th. This is highly unusual - daily reports from all three groups have been provided since at least March 22. Now nothing.

I'll keep digging. In the meantime, some news articles posted below.

To be clear, my alarm over that graph yesterday showed

  1. Drywell radiation leapt more than 300% (31 sieverts to 100 sieverts) in about 24 hours
  2. Temperature of the Reactor Pressure Vessel (RPV) nozzle suddenly jumped 50C (122F)
  3. Pressure levels in both the reactor core and the containment chamber also rose suddenly

Hence my concern about lack of new data.

  • 7 votes
#21 - Sat Apr 9, 2011 8:48 AM EDT
tomwcraig

This is quite troubling, usually when constant updates stop it's for one of two reasons: 1) Crisis is over, or 2) Crisis has gotten much worse and officials are panicking and trying to prevent a public panic.

  • 8 votes
#21.1 - Sat Apr 9, 2011 4:17 PM EDT
rickace

Agreed alarming. This thing isn't going away, so when reports evaporate I suspect that careers are at risk, and we're talking big careers.

It could be also that the measurement process was interrupted by unfavorable developments; I submit that to folks more informed than I am to discuss.

  • 8 votes
#21.2 - Sat Apr 9, 2011 4:37 PM EDT
Physicist-retired

tom and rickace,

Wish I had some news for you. Everything has been (too) quiet all day.

It's morning in Japan. Maybe we'll have some updates in the next few hours. Even the physics forums have gone silent. Very odd.

I'll keep checking.

  • 8 votes
#21.3 - Sat Apr 9, 2011 5:37 PM EDT
Starseeker

Not sure if this link has been posted before but it has data as recent as 12AM Apr 9. http://fukushimadatapage.com/viewDataPage.aspx

click the links for unit1 ... 2 or 3.

if you scroll down a ways you can see that some temps were quite a bit higher in the past.

  • 7 votes
#21.4 - Sat Apr 9, 2011 5:43 PM EDT
Starseeker

Some excellent photos too. http://cryptome.org/eyeball/daiichi-npp/daiichi-photos.htm

Hopefully these are not redundant even if they are old news.

  • 7 votes
#21.5 - Sat Apr 9, 2011 5:54 PM EDT
Physicist-retired

Starseeker,

Amazing. Just amazing.

Did you notice the completely severed pipes in photos 4 and 8? There are probably more - I'll take a closer look.

Thanks so much for these great high-res shots. What a mess.

  • 7 votes
#21.6 - Sat Apr 9, 2011 6:19 PM EDT
Starseeker

yeah, just amazing... unit3 suffered a wee little explosion.

I think I have seen bombed buildings with more left than that.

The scale is deceiving too ... for reference find some of the vehicles on the ground... fire trucks etc look tiny.

There is a massive hole in the roof of the building behind unit 3.

  • 7 votes
#21.7 - Sat Apr 9, 2011 6:29 PM EDT
CL1

P-r -- I have similar photos that I posted a week or so ago, but much smaller. These offer a better reality of the severity. I can't help but wonder if the article that nearing had posted awhile back suggesting that the some of the fuel pools "blasted away" is possibly true - atleast two of the building's tops look demolished. I don't think if that happened that anyone would want that to be known - as that would be a serious and longterm contamination to the environment. ..What's your opinion?

  • 6 votes
#21.8 - Sat Apr 9, 2011 6:31 PM EDT
goldminor

They bulldozed hot material under the ground between #3 and #4. So something was ejected. I could see a yellow flash watching the pic shown on tv, from #3 blowing.

  • 6 votes
#21.9 - Sat Apr 9, 2011 7:02 PM EDT
CL1

Yes, I remember the comment that they bulldozed something "foreign" where you mentioned, and that material was ejected up to (not going to try to quote) a certain distance away.. this was supposedly regarding the explosion that came from #4, I believe(?) ...but, I've never read an 'official' report from TEPCO stating that any of the fuel pools were literally "blasted away" as suspected. ..Have you?

  • 6 votes
#21.10 - Sat Apr 9, 2011 7:09 PM EDT
goldminor

No, only the same as what you are reading. But the inference is pretty strong that it was really hot. Actually there is a picture that puzzled me for a bit. It is a shot of a mucked up area of ground between #3 and the next building to the north, I believe. The ground looked like it was disturbed and muddy, and there are a string of large rectangular plates that have been put in place, to form a ground cover. One of the concrete pumps is in place there. Wouldn't that have been concreted ground all through there? What would have torn that up to have exposed soil?

  • 5 votes
#21.11 - Sat Apr 9, 2011 7:51 PM EDT
CL1

..the tsunami maybe?

  • 4 votes
#21.12 - Sat Apr 9, 2011 8:03 PM EDT
goldminor

You can see where the quake tweaked some of the area. There could be more indication of cracking if the mud and debris is cleared.

  • 3 votes
#21.13 - Sat Apr 9, 2011 8:18 PM EDT
CL1

It would seem to me that the other nuke sites a little north and south of Fukushima would have some damage. I wonder if they are keeping that quiet.

  • 5 votes
#21.14 - Sat Apr 9, 2011 8:43 PM EDT
Angela1586572

Starseeker, thanks so much for the drone shots. Zoomed in for a closer view on all. Have a few ideas.
Question..from space they can use the infrared to see how far out the radiation/Hot material is. The spent rods
should be glowing and probably are. So, who is going to step up and tell the world the truth? Our Planet depends
on truth. Vital to our existence, honorable for the people of Japan.

  • 6 votes
#21.15 - Sat Apr 9, 2011 9:38 PM EDT
Starseeker

Angela,

I'm not sure what the real conclusion should be ... the plants are in shambles and radioactivity levels within are high however, all the external readings continue to decline ...

http://www.slideshare.net/energy/radiation-monitoring-data-from-fukushima-area-04072011

even reactor data look better than days ago...
http://fukushimadatapage.com/viewDataPage.aspx
4/9 vs 3/23 for example for unit1 temps are quite a bit lower.
There was a temperature spike yesterday after the new quake which appears to have been short lived.

which might imply they are reaching a turning point. A precarious one to be sure, at that.

Unfortunately we have lots of differing opinions being offered by some who don't really have anymore data than we do which isn't much. I wish I could be certain that some of these people grabbing media attention were not doing it for their 15 minutes of fame.

I have only seen the one supposed thermal image which originated from a potentially dubious source (was it photo shopped) since then; there has not been another I am aware of, so I don't know what thermal looks like now. The datapage isn't showing 350+ degree temps though... but is that even reliable?

LA Times reports some different views than was in NY times.

http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/world/la-fg-japan-nuclear-20110408,0,2828502.story

The most telling evidence about the condition of the reactors is the absence of heavy radionuclide contamination around the plant, which would indicate that uranium fuel became so overheated that it vaporized heavy fission products such as strontium and technetium, experts said.

Instead, the main contaminants have been isotopes of iodine and cesium, which are water soluble and are not held in the uranium fuel itself.

http://phronesisaical.blogspot.com/2011/04/fukushima-threat-down.html

Truth is hard to come by... There may not even be any truth in this situation. it's very fluid {no pun intended} and both, "data sources" and experts, are questionable.

  • 8 votes
#21.16 - Sat Apr 9, 2011 10:47 PM EDT
Angela1586572

May i recommend a Summit Meeting with Nuclear Weapons Specialists Heads of State,
Los Alamos, NM Scientists and others. The Brightest Physicians/Geneticists, Micro-Biologists, Nuclear Physicists should do a video conference, World wide. The IAEA, JAIF, TEPCO.. should communicate with one another. Everyone understands the protocol for each stage level in a Nuclear Plant Meltdown. Manuals, Licensed Staff who
go through training, scrubbing, and the Physicians who monitor their lives. I just have no idea what else one could
suggest during this time.

  • 3 votes
#21.17 - Sun Apr 10, 2011 3:34 AM EDT
Reply
Physicist-retired

After plugging the highly-radioactive leak at #2 in Dai-ichi (see photo 3 above), water inside the #2 reactor tunnel continues to rise - about 4 inches now:

TEPCO steps up effort to remove contaminated water

Tokyo Electric Power Company says contaminated water in a concrete tunnel of the Number 2 reactor has risen 10 centimeters since leakage of the water into the ocean stopped on Wednesday.

The company says the gap between the surface of the waste water and the top of the tunnel was 94 centimeters (34 inches) as of 7 AM on Saturday. It denies any possibility that the water could overflow from the tunnel.

The source of the contaminated water has not been identified. TEPCO plans to transfer the waste water either to a processing facility for nuclear waste or turbine condensers depending on the progress in current operations.

http://www3.nhk.or.jp/daily/english/09_15.html

A rise of 10 cm in 2 days (or 5cm/day) means that TEPCO has about 19 days to stop the internal leak, or find a place to store this highly-radioactive water (or both) before trench water begins leaking into the ocean.

That should be possible to do, if conditions don't change dramatically.

  • 6 votes
Reply#22 - Sat Apr 9, 2011 8:56 AM EDT
Physicist-retired

Rather cryptic clues about conditions at reactor #1, which I referred to in comment #21. From NHK World News:

The plant operator says a strong aftershock on Thursday night did not damage any facilities of the compound, but the surface temperature of the Number 1 reactor rose sharply immediately after the tremor that hit northeastern Japan minutes before midnight.

The reading stood at 223 degrees Celsius at 7 PM, but it rose nearly 40 degrees just after the quake. The temperature had fallen back to 240 degrees at 6 AM on Saturday.

TEPCO says it will continue close monitoring as what caused the sudden rise in temperature is not known.

http://www3.nhk.or.jp/daily/english/09_15.html

What they fail to mention is that radiation levels surged, and pressure readings also rose dramatically. Still no new data on what has happened since the quake.

  • 6 votes
Reply#23 - Sat Apr 9, 2011 9:03 AM EDT
Starseeker

Brittle and weakened embers would have settled consolidating the active materials upon shaking... no?

  • 8 votes
#23.1 - Sat Apr 9, 2011 9:13 AM EDT
Physicist-retired

Starseeker,

That 'picture' makes a lot of sense to me. Great call.

  • 6 votes
#23.2 - Sat Apr 9, 2011 10:20 AM EDT
goldminor

Speaking of quakes, a 6.6 struck 2 hours ago right off the coast from Fukushima. The depth was 6.2 miles. NHK World says that there was no damage to the reactors at Fukushima, but the workers were withdrawn for safety. Ten quakes all around 5.0 followed in the next two hours, with nine of those hitting close to shore and the damaged reactors. This swarm came after a long quiet spell for several days.

Another NHK article says that it has been confirmed that some 4200 hectare along Tokyo Bay have been lost to liquefaction since the Mar 11 quake.

  • 5 votes
#23.3 - Mon Apr 11, 2011 7:50 AM EDT
goldminor

A 5.6 quake just hit close to the same coordinates, 37N 140E, where the majority of the earlier ones have. Could be a busy day there. This one is listed as a regional moment quake, as was the 6.6 earlier.

  • 4 votes
#23.4 - Mon Apr 11, 2011 8:39 AM EDT
goldminor

Looking around at some of the sites reporting on or discussing the reactors, there doesn't seem to be any new pressing discovery. That sounds like a big plus at this point in time. There was mention that radioactive steam and nitrogen has been detected as leaking from #1 reactor. The pressure buildup at #1 leveled off at a certain point with extra nitrogen producing no further increase, so a leak is confirmed. Which brings to mind, "If they pump all of the water out, how much danger does exposed core material present to workers and how far from the source would be affected?"

  • 2 votes
#23.5 - Mon Apr 11, 2011 1:45 PM EDT
goldminor

Looking around at some of the sites reporting on or discussing the reactors, there doesn't seem to be any new pressing discovery. That sounds like a big plus at this point in time. There was mention that radioactive steam and nitrogen has been detected as leaking from #1 reactor. The pressure buildup at #1 leveled off at a certain point with extra nitrogen producing no further increase, so a leak is confirmed. Which brings to mind, "If they pump all of the water out, how much danger does exposed core material present to workers and how far from the source would be affected?"

  • 3 votes
#23.6 - Mon Apr 11, 2011 1:46 PM EDT
DogonCrook

No news is good news. It sounded like they were on the verge of having another explosion. Haven't done any digging around yet today, but personally I'm happy I wasn't interrupted with breaking news...

  • 5 votes
#23.7 - Mon Apr 11, 2011 3:51 PM EDT
Reply
mstanley2265

If, and I say If, there is a possibility of lava moving up beneath or through the tectonic plates, this could be a third shadow coming for the plant. I wonder if they have a three dimensional model of all of this. There is constant earthquakes, small and large in the area so the question becomes is the crust moving apart or pushed together.

Answers.com "Earthquakes are made when the Earth's crust is being pushed together. When this builds up enough stress, it sends out shockwaves. Volcanoes happen when the crust moves apart, and the lava from the mantle rises up, spewing magma every now and then. Plate movements--that's basically HOW earthquakes and volcanoes form. They all have to do with the movement of plate tectonics."

  • 3 votes
Reply#24 - Sat Apr 9, 2011 1:10 PM EDT
Physicist-retired

mstanley,

There IS an active volcano in southwestern Honshu (the island where Fukushima is located). As I recall, it erupted soon after the original earthquake.

But it's far from Dai-ichi. Dai-ichi is in the northeast of that island. And that's a good thing.

Interesting insight, though.

  • 6 votes
#24.1 - Sat Apr 9, 2011 5:41 PM EDT
mstanley2265

I've been trying to find out if there was any lava flow detected closer to the Plant and coming up with zip on any information for that area. That is odd too because there is sooo much info about Pacific underwater volcanoes and lava flows. I'm fairly certain that at one time there was a lava flow detected several years back about 3 or 4 miles off Honshu. I have a few more areas to research though so not going to give up until I find out one way or the other.

I was just thinking that if the lava did reach the surface under the Fukushima plant that would not be a good thing. But then again it may solve the problem of the spent fuel rods...A stretch but hey they need all the help they can get, even if it would come from the earth

  • 4 votes
#24.2 - Sat Apr 9, 2011 8:27 PM EDT
Reply
Starseeker

u-s-mulls-reviewing-80-km-evacuation-zone-for-americans-in-japan

The U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission issued an evacuation advisory for Americans living within an 80-km radius of the troubled plant on March 16. The decision was based on the assumption that fuel at the No. 2 reactor of the plant was completely damaged, not on observational data.

As a result, the NRC apparently overestimated the levels of radioactive substances that would leak from the nuclear plant.

The NRC has said the Japanese evacuation advisory is also appropriate.

Just stay out of that narrow band that extends northwest from Daiichi in the DOE survey.
http://www.slideshare.net/energy/radiation-monitoring-data-from-fukushima-area-04072011

  • 7 votes
Reply#25 - Sat Apr 9, 2011 11:23 PM EDT
Angela1586572

Bookmarked the above, thanks.

  • 4 votes
#25.1 - Mon Apr 11, 2011 3:21 PM EDT
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